Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Prediction, Results, H2H & Live

There is something quietly compelling about a football rivalry that refuses to follow the script. Bournemouth and Aston Villa have shared the Premier League stage for long enough now that their meetings feel less like random encounters and more like a slow-burning story being written in real time — most recently a 1-1 draw on 7 February 2026 at the Vitality Stadium. Aston Villa have not lost to Bournemouth in seven straight meetings since August 2022, a streak that tells its own story about how these two clubs have sized each other up over the seasons.

Latest Result: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa · Bournemouth Position: 9th · Aston Villa Position: 3rd · H2H Games: 17 meetings · Bournemouth H2H Wins: 5

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Prediction

Prediction platforms have weighed in on what the data suggests for future meetings between these two sides. Forebet reportedly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa ahead of the 7 February 2026 fixture, based on statistical modeling of form and historical performance (Forebet, Football Prediction Platform). The prediction market at FootyStats showed 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, 71% for over 1.5 goals, and 58% for both teams to score, suggesting an expectation of competitive, open football when these clubs meet (FootyStats, Statistical Analysis Platform).

Aston Villa come into any fixture against Bournemouth with considerable historical confidence. Sports Mole reports that Villa have been unbeaten in their last seven meetings with Bournemouth, winning four and drawing three since a 2-0 defeat in August 2022 (Sports Mole, Football Analysis Outlet). Villa’s stronger head-to-head record and current league position—third in the Premier League—give prediction models a clear favorite signal.

Forebet Prediction

Forebet’s algorithmic prediction for the 7 February 2026 match suggested Aston Villa would win 1-2 at Vitality Stadium, accounting for home advantage but factoring in Villa’s superior overall record in this fixture (Forebet, Football Prediction Platform). Statistical prediction models typically weigh recent form more heavily than historical dominance, and Villa’s five consecutive wins in their last five matches—per AiScore data—made them a clear pick for the prediction engine.

Key Factors

Several factors shape any prediction for this matchup. Bournemouth’s home record of six wins, five draws, and two losses in 13 matches shows genuine competitive strength on their own ground (SoccerPunter, Football Statistics Database). However, Villa’s away form of six wins, four draws, and three losses represents solid traveling capability. The possession and shot data from recent meetings—Bournemouth averaging 53% possession with 20 shots versus Villa’s seven shots in one tracked fixture—suggests Bournemouth often dominate general play without converting that dominance into wins (FootyStats, Statistical Analysis Platform).

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Live

Following live scores for Aston Villa versus Bournemouth requires knowing where the reliable data comes from in real time. Sofascore serves as one of the primary destinations for live match tracking, offering minute-by-minute updates, goal scorers, and match statistics (Sofascore, Live Sports Data Platform). The platform confirmed the 7 February 2026 fixture ended 1-1, with Morgan Rogers scoring for Villa at the 22nd minute and Rayan equalising for Bournemouth at the 55th minute (Sofascore, Live Sports Data Platform).

Stream Options

Premier League matches are typically broadcast through official holders of rights in each region. Sofascore and Flashscore provide live score widgets that update in real time without requiring a subscription, making them accessible options for anyone tracking the fixture remotely (Flashscore, Live Results Platform). These platforms pull data directly from match officials and stadium feeds, reducing the lag that can affect less robust score trackers.

Lineups

Official lineups are usually released around 75 minutes before kickoff through club social media channels and Premier League official sources. For the 7 February 2026 fixture, the confirmed goal scorers—Morgan Rogers and Rayan—indicate both clubs fielded competitive sides, though detailed lineup breakdowns require checking club announcements or match reports from post-game coverage (Sofascore, Live Sports Data Platform).

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Results

The most recent meeting between these two clubs produced a 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium on 7 February 2026 (Sofascore, Live Sports Data Platform). This result fits a pattern: across 17 total meetings since the clubs began facing each other regularly, four have ended in draws, suggesting close contests are more common than mismatches when these sides meet.

Recent Match

The February 2026 draw featured Morgan Rogers opening the scoring for Villa in the 22nd minute before Rayan equalised for Bournemouth 33 minutes later (Sofascore, Live Sports Data Platform). Neither side could find a winner in the remaining minutes, leaving Bournemouth with a point that kept them within striking distance of mid-table while Villa collected a draw that maintained their push for European qualification.

This was not an isolated close result. Sports Mole records a 2-2 draw from 3 December 2023 and Villa’s narrow 3-1 victory on 21 April 2024 (Sports Mole, Football Analysis Outlet). The clubs have met seven times since 2022, with Villa winning four and drawing three—suggesting Bournemouth have found ways to compete consistently but have not broken through for a win.

Full History

The historical record between Aston Villa and Bournemouth spans 17 meetings, with Aston Villa winning eight, Bournemouth winning five, and four draws recorded (Sports Mole, Football Analysis Outlet). Villa’s superior record reflects their status as a historically more successful club, but Bournemouth’s five wins demonstrate they have never been simply passive opponents in this fixture.

Notable recent results include Villa’s 4-0 thrashing of Bournemouth in November 2025 and a 1-0 home win for Villa in May 2025 (Sports Mole, Football Analysis Outlet). These results highlight the inconsistency in Bournemouth’s results against Villa—sometimes competitive, sometimes completely outplayed. Villa’s 3-0 win on 18 March 2023 and 3-1 win on 21 April 2024 show a pattern of Villa scoring three or more when they win.

The pattern across these results shows Villa consistently finding the net multiple times when they take all three points, while Bournemouth’s wins tend to be tighter affairs.

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth H2H

The head-to-head record tells a clear story about this fixture’s trajectory. Across 17 total meetings, Aston Villa hold a decisive advantage with eight wins, while Bournemouth have won five times and four matches have ended in draws (Sports Mole, Football Analysis Outlet). Villa’s advantage is not overwhelming on paper—but in practice, their unbeaten streak of seven matches since August 2022 suggests something more dominant than the raw numbers indicate.

Win Records

Aston Villa have won eight of 17 meetings, giving them a win rate of approximately 47% in this fixture (Sports Mole, Football Analysis Outlet). Bournemouth’s five wins represent roughly 29% of meetings, with the remaining 24% ending in draws. Villa’s 47% win rate across a relatively small sample size still represents clear superiority.

What makes Villa’s dominance more striking is the context of those wins. Of Villa’s eight victories, several have been commanding scorelines: 3-0, 3-1, and 4-0 results feature prominently in their recent record against Bournemouth (11v11, Historical Match Database). When Villa win this fixture, they tend to win comfortably.

Goals Scored

The goal tallies reflect Villa’s structural advantage in this matchup. Across 13 head-to-head matches tracked in detail, Aston Villa scored 21 goals and conceded 14, while Bournemouth scored 14 and conceded 21 (SoccerPunter, Football Statistics Database). Villa’s goal difference of plus-seven across 13 meetings—averaging 2.71 goals per match combined—indicates consistently superior attacking output.

Bournemouth’s 14 goals in 13 matches averages just over one goal per game, suggesting their attacking threat in this fixture is limited. When combined with their defensive record—21 goals conceded in 13 matches—these numbers explain why Bournemouth have struggled to compete consistently against Villa.

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Stats

Broader performance metrics place both clubs in their respective contexts within the Premier League table. Aston Villa sit third in the Premier League and remain in contention for Champions League qualification, according to SoccerPunter’s data (SoccerPunter, Football Statistics Database). Bournemouth occupy ninth position, representing a solid mid-table standing that reflects their primary objective of Premier League survival and stability (SoccerPunter, Football Statistics Database).

Standings

Villa’s third-place position represents remarkable progress for a club that has navigated significant transformation in recent seasons. Champions League qualification would represent a historic achievement and likely bring increased financial resources for squad development. Bournemouth’s ninth-place standing represents their functional target—a position clear of relegation concerns while still short of European competition qualification.

Performance Metrics

Aston Villa’s overall record across 26 Premier League matches reads 15 wins, five draws, and six losses (SoccerPunter, Football Statistics Database). Their away record of six wins, four draws, and three losses shows they are a genuinely strong side regardless of venue. Bournemouth’s overall record of nine wins, 10 draws, and seven losses across 26 matches shows competitive but inconsistent form, with their home record of six wins, five draws, and two losses significantly stronger than their away performances.

Recent form strongly favors Villa. AiScore data shows Villa winning five matches consecutively without dropping points, while Bournemouth managed two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures (AiScore, Sports Data Platform). Villa’s goals-per-game average of 1.2 in recent matches versus Bournemouth’s similar 1.2 suggests attacking output is comparable—but Villa’s win rate is far higher, pointing to superior defensive solidity.

The pattern across 17 meetings is consistent enough that it should shape expectations for future fixtures. Villa have the stronger squad, the better head-to-head record, and the Champions League ambitions that demand they take maximum points against mid-table opponents. Bournemouth, for their part, have shown they can compete—the 2-2 draw in December 2023 and the competitive xG figures from recent meetings prove they are not simply outclassed every time these clubs meet.

For Villa, the priority is clear: maintain their unbeaten streak and use every fixture against Bournemouth as an opportunity to consolidate their top-four position. For Bournemouth, the goal is equally clear: stop the bleeding, compete hard on their home ground, and treat any point taken against Villa as a positive result. The next meeting between these clubs—whenever it is scheduled—will add another chapter to a rivalry that continues to produce closer contests than the overall record suggests.

Aston Villa’s third-place push meets Bournemouth’s resilience, as explored in the detailed prediction analysis covering key H2H stats and live updates.

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